(Patriot.Buzz) – In a recent turn of events in New Hampshire’s political landscapе, former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Joe Biden.
As revealed by a new St. Anselm College Survey Center poll, Trump now leads Biden 44% to 42%, with Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garnering support from 4% of voters.
This marks a significant 12-point shift since last December when Biden was leading with 49% against Trump’s 39% and Kennedy’s 8%.
The poll also accounted for several third-party candidates, showing Libertarian Chase Oliver at 0%, Green Party’s Jill Stein at 1% and Independent Cornel West at 1%.
New Hampshire Institute of Politics executive director Neil Levesque noted, “Biden leads among voters who dislike both candidates. However, more Democratic voters are drifting toward independent candidates than their Republican counterparts.”
He added, “While 89% of Republicans are solidly backing Trump, Biden secures the support of only 82% of Democrats.”
Despite this shift, Biden still maintains a slight edge in the broader RealClearPolitics aggregate of New Hampshire polling, where he leads by 3% in a head-to-head matchup.
However, according to the national RCP aggregate, Trump has the upper hand nationally and in key battleground states.
New Hampshire, which has not seen a Republican presidential victory since 2000 and contributеs four votes to the Electoral College, shows Trump performing more competitively than usual for Republicans.
A significant challenge for Biden is maintaining support among very liberal voters, particularly in light of the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Many progressives are dissatisfied, with hundreds of thousands saying they are “uncommitted” on ballots in protest of Biden’s stance on the U.S. ally.
Trump appears to have stronger support among moderates, undeclared voters, and swing voters in comparison to Biden.
Regarding voter hesitancy, age appears to be a significant factor for Biden, with 45% of voters saying it makes them “less” or “much less” likely to support him.
Trump’s recent conviction also influences voter sentiment, with 43% indicating it makes them “less” or “much less” likely to vote for him.
The survey was conducted on June 28-29 following the debate between Trump and Biden.
It included 1,700 voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.
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