(Patriot.Buzz) – Highlighting the increasing possibilities of America’s return to greatness, Sean Trende, a senior elections analyst at RealClearPolitics, offered an optimistic outlook for former President Donald Trump’s potential return to the Oval Office.
In a recent analysis, Trende’s perspective challenges common narratives about Trump’s electability, underscoring that his chances of winning are not simply a remote possibility but a tangible reality.
Based on data from RealClearPolitics, Trende’s analysis suggests that Trump is not only capable of winning the upcoming election but also stands as a favorite. “Not only can Trump win, right now he’s the favorite to win,” he asserts.
This claim is substantiated by the latest polling data that shows Trump leading Joe Biden by a notable margin. “As of this writing, Trump leads Biden by 2.6 percentage points nationally in the RealClearPolitics Average. This is Trump’s largest lead in the RCP average to date. Not for 2024, mind you. Ever,” Trende emphasizes.
To provide context to these numbers, Trende compares Trump’s current standings to his past election performances. In 2016, Trump led Hillary Clinton in the national RealClearPolitics Average for only a brief period, predominantly in the aftermath of the Republican convention.
Throughout that entire campaign cycle, Trump was ahead in 29 polls, with 10 of these being Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California tracking polls. In contrast, during the 2020 election, Trump never surpassed Biden in the national RCP Average and was ahead in only five polls throughout the entire cycle.
The current scenario paints a different picture. “…This cycle? He’s led in that many [polls] since mid-September. He’s led in more polls in the past three weeks than he did against Biden in all of 2019-2020,” Trende notes.
This significant increase in the number of polls favoring Trump indicates a marked shift in his electoral prospects, positioning him more favorably than in previous election cycles.